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Poker Variance Simulator

Visualise the true range of outcomes for your win rate. See downswing probabilities, how many hands you need to prove you're a winner, and the right bankroll for shot-taking.

Inputs

Presets
Results are based on Monte Carlo simulation (500 paths) assuming normally distributed hand results. Real poker has fat-tailed distributions; actual variance may be higher. Not financial advice.

Keep what you worked out.

A free account saves your bankroll plans, sessions and the results you run here, on every device. No card, no upsell.

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Goes with this. Enter bet size, RTP and rounds per hour to see how long your bankroll lasts, the unit size that fits it, and when to walk.

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