Stake Dice Calculator
Calculate probability, EV, and strategy simulations for Stake Dice. See how rakeback reduces your effective edge and compare betting strategies.
Presets:
Calculator
Win: 49.50% → Multiplier: 2.0000x → Effective Edge: 0.97%
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Results
Probability & EV
Win Chance49.50%
Multiplier2.0000x
EV per Bet-$0.10
EV w/ Rakeback-$0.10
Common Setups
49.5% (2x)
2.00x
Net EV (w/ rakeback): -$0.10
10-loss: 0.108%
33% (3x)
3.00x
Net EV (w/ rakeback): -$0.10
10-loss: 1.823%
24.75% (4x)
4.00x
Net EV (w/ rakeback): -$0.10
10-loss: 5.822%
9.9% (10x)
10.00x
Net EV (w/ rakeback): -$0.10
10-loss: 35.257%
4.95% (20x)
20.00x
Net EV (w/ rakeback): -$0.10
10-loss: 60.190%
0.99% (100x)
100.00x
Net EV (w/ rakeback): -$0.10
10-loss: 90.530%
Losing Streak Probability (at 49.50% win)
| Streak | Next bets all lose | At least once in 100 bets |
|---|---|---|
| 5 losses in a row | 3.2844% | 82.38% |
| 10 losses in a row | 0.1079% | 4.82% |
| 15 losses in a row | 0.0035% | 0.15% |
| 20 losses in a row | 0.0001% | 0.0047% |
| 25 losses in a row | 0.0000% | 0.0001% |
| 50 losses in a row | 0.0000% | 0.0000% |
The second column is the one that matters for martingale: a streak that is rare in any single window still shows up over a session.
Rakeback Impact: At 3.5% rakeback, your effective edge drops from 1.00% to 0.97%. Over 100 bets of $10.00: raw loss $10.00, rakeback return $0.35, net loss $9.65.
How Stake Dice Works
House Edge Formula
Multiplier = 99 / winChance. Stake keeps 1% of all action. EV per bet = bet × (multiplier × P(win) − 1) = −1% of bet.
Rakeback Advantage
Stake's rakeback is one flat 3.5% of the house's expected take, automatic from Bronze; no code changes the rate. On dice's 1% edge that puts your net edge at 0.965%, which this page shows as the Effective Edge above.
Strategy Truth
No betting strategy changes the EV. Martingale reduces bust variance short-term but requires a larger bankroll and risks catastrophic loss on long streaks.
Track Every Stake Dice Bet
GAMB·8 gives you automated dice bot strategies, real-time bankroll analytics, and provably-fair verification, so you always know your true edge before you spin.